![]() March 4 (post-Super Tuesday): Trump 53.9% Biden 40% Now, we’ll be tracking how the odds shift between now and when the results are final.įor those of you who are just now tuning into the election betting market, here’s a quick overview of how the odds have evolved over the past nine months: We’ve been tracking the odds since March - when former Vice President Joe Biden first emerged as the presumptive Democratic nominee to challenge President Donald Trump. Trump’s current 38.6% chance to win are his best odds in more than a month. Biden had been -227 (66.6%), compared to +188 (33.3%) for Trump as the clock shifted to Election Day on the East coast of the U.S. It’s worth noting that these odds did see a pretty sizable shift in between midnight ET and 2 a.m. The polls have opened an many states, but the odds to win the presidency have remained stable since our 2 a.m. ![]() Trump’s odds to win are up nearly 3.5% since midnight, moving from a 33.3% chance to win to a 36.7% chance. ![]() ET, it’s still down from his numbers at midnight this morning (-227 odds, 66.6% chance). While this is nearly a 2% bump for Biden compared to what we saw at 8 a.m. After an early morning odds shift toward President Donald Trump, the market has corrected a bit, boosting Joe Biden’s chances slightly. ![]()
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